TSLA 1H — patient long into the 425 OB after the sweep, not chasing the wick

Been watching TSLA the last few sessions and I think the cleaner play here is patience, not chasing the bounce off Monday’s lows.

Where we are: ~$438 on the 1H. We had a clean sweep of the prior week’s lows around $419, then a sharp ChoCH and impulsive recovery. Classic Smart Money sequence — take liquidity, then mark up.

My read:

• 1H trend just flipped bullish (HH/HL forming)
• The bullish OB sits at $424–$428 and hasn’t been retested yet
• Stops are stacked under $422 (the swept low)
• TP1 sits at the prior 1H supply at $448, then $456 / $464 above

The plan (LONG):

• Entry: $424–$428 (1H bullish OB / OTE 61.8–78.6)
• Wait for a 5m or 15m bullish ChoCH inside the zone before pulling the trigger
• SL: $422 (below the swing low + buffer)
• TP1: $448 (~1:3 R:R) — partials
• TP2: $456
• TP3: $464

Confluence I’m seeing: untouched OB, FVG below, liquidity sweep already done, ChoCH on 1H, BOS confirmation, OTE alignment. That’s about a 7/10 for me. What’s missing: no clear Wyckoff spring/upthrust, no accumulation schematic — this is more of a momentum continuation than a reversal play.

What I won’t do:

• Buy here at $438. Mid-range entries are how accounts bleed.
• Hold through earnings or any Musk headline without trimming.
• Re-enter if a 1H candle closes below $422. Bias is dead at that point.

Macro context: TSLA is news-sensitive right now (deliveries, AI day chatter, options flow). I’d rather miss the trade than get caught the wrong side of a tweet. If the 425 zone gets nuked through with no reaction, I stand aside.

Anyone else watching this level? Curious if you’re seeing the same OB or a different one.

Not advice — just sharing a plan. Trade your own setup, manage your risk.