Hey everyone — posting a Wyckoff trade review I made on MES (15m chart) with annotations and volume analysis. I’m looking for thoughts on phase interpretation, entry timing, and whether I misread a minor Sign of Weakness (mSOW) vs. Fall through the ice (FTI).

Trade Setup Summary:

• I interpreted the structure as distribution, with Preliminary Supply → Buying Climax → AR → ST → UTAD. (phase B trading range)
• Entered short on the retest of the LL after what I thought was UTAD retest (thinking Phase D was starting).
• 1st candle after breakdown closed below lower limit on higher volume, next candle confirmed the break and I entered.

Where I Think I Went Wrong:

1. Misidentified Phase C
   • There was no real conviction close above UL to complete Phase C??
2. Mistook mSOW for FTI
   • The structure after my entry looked like an FTI and retest…
   • But could this have actually been a minor SOW ??
   • Curious how others determine this without clear Phase C closure. Do you rely on lower timeframe closes above UL?

Main Question:

How do you confidently distinguish a minor SOW or fake Phase D from a true FTI/LPSY, especially when Phase C is messy?

Appreciate any feedback. Still refining my Phase C validation process and struggling with premature entries in complex structures.

Thanks in advance.