Higher Lows in Continuation Setups Explained

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Today I’ll explain why identifying higher lows in a continuation pattern is so important for me to find entry points. This plays along with the concepts of linearity, stage analysis (Wyckoff Cycle I explained in other posts), and tight ranges.

You can find my free program (work in progress) here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RuQ5vFX4To8xlPLjHV5IkX5qOx06cNF1HlNL2WYscSc and here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1hFWzfQVNXBkUV2KJ7B9E0Ecah3gAVBWLCyHfAVSl3wI

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I see higher lows as a footprint the market leaves whenever there’s increased buying pressure. If you spend some time looking at rallies, you’ll see that in most cases there are a series of higher lows before the ‘explosion’ moment.

If the stock is linear (I explained this concept here), it will find support in the rising MA10, 20 or 50. If I see the price is putting higher lows following the MA10, 20 or 50, that’s a good sign.

Sometimes the higher lows are just plain literal lows of the last few candles, and sometimes it’s what I call ‘visual’ lows, where the closes or opens (the bodies) of the candles ‘draw’ the higher lows. This needs a trained eye, and with enough practice, it’s easy to spot them.

https://preview.redd.it/7ajr408cngme1.png?width=1902&format=png&auto=webp&s=a2c29ee294983de30121efd0d396e5f326e07aec

https://preview.redd.it/c8bglwdcngme1.png?width=1908&format=png&auto=webp&s=80a53b6fc10b83db3061bbb17516fb1ea80d6421

Another example:

https://preview.redd.it/i0c4m8rnngme1.png?width=1910&format=png&auto=webp&s=d3e7dda59b853a39ad7a3eb9e6d1af9481050ca3

https://preview.redd.it/9zfbf9rnngme1.png?width=1906&format=png&auto=webp&s=e0ec2003c5b2e423d36ed3a314c1fbc401a35057

Another example:

https://preview.redd.it/vr2brc1rngme1.png?width=1908&format=png&auto=webp&s=3cdae0ea3ac77723a5677c200009924bd007ab7a

https://preview.redd.it/cyrg1j1rngme1.png?width=1908&format=png&auto=webp&s=f951994c35f1d954dad6cca19e81df72d879232d

Another example:

https://preview.redd.it/sx5xxgaungme1.png?width=1906&format=png&auto=webp&s=05d6f17afa40b33c7bc1d2674a1cca2ae4d6a593

https://preview.redd.it/6gjsnoaungme1.png?width=1902&format=png&auto=webp&s=f644d2cded87db783bb79d947e7ab7d80cf804f8

It’s important to use the higher lows ‘footprint’ in context. And again, this is something that takes a lot of training to be able to understand when the higher lows make a good sign that a potential momentum explosion could be coming.

The support in the MAs is a very good sign. Also the price stabilization (several candles putting a tight range, especially within a bigger range that’s tightening).

And what gives me a very good clue are small candles (in range or in body). This means the price keeps reducing the range it’s moving in, and the buying and selling pressure are reaching an area of equilibrium. Then once the price moves outside this very tight range, and the balance breaks, there’s an increased possibility that the buying pressure continues moving the price up.

Now go back to the charts I posted above and observe the progression of a:

  1. Previous rally.
  2. Price putting up a range (price dropped to an area and then moved up).
  3. The range got tighter and tighter.
  4. Until it put up a series of small candles and higher lows.
  5. And found support in the MA10 or 20.
  6. Then broke out to the upside, putting up another rally.

The higher lows usually also happen earlier and along the setup. This tells me that the buying pressure keeps building up for a longer period of time. This is a very good sign, because, in general terms, the bigger the setup, the longer the potential move up that could follow after the breakout to the upside.

The more evidence of increased buying pressure, the better. I’ll explain in some other lesson the importance of the MAs ‘reclaim’ and candles like hammers holding these MAs.

Here’s a example:

https://preview.redd.it/w8c6ctx0pgme1.png?width=1904&format=png&auto=webp&s=c5c0200ec0de247ce82fe5a2315b09cbebd0c968

https://preview.redd.it/q2vmizx0pgme1.png?width=1906&format=png&auto=webp&s=fbf7dd0200da61ccd9eeaa09c841221da79abb8c

Another example below, where I drew a line to show how the range becomes tighter and tighter along the way, until it reaches a breakout day. This puts several concepts I’ve been explaining in context.

https://preview.redd.it/twxizkc9pgme1.png?width=1906&format=png&auto=webp&s=def1d84bd6380c0a5f23215598e24ca6b1f8339a

https://preview.redd.it/szwpkmc9pgme1.png?width=1908&format=png&auto=webp&s=8c1b3543561b7be3b009b233b8023da9106b41b8

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That’s all for today!

You can find my free program (work in progress – I write whenever I have the time and energy) here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RuQ5vFX4To8xlPLjHV5IkX5qOx06cNF1HlNL2WYscSc and here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1hFWzfQVNXBkUV2KJ7B9E0Ecah3gAVBWLCyHfAVSl3wI

Sometimes I post setups and trades on X: https://x.com/manucapital

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