Considering PUTS on AZO and ORLY

Considering PUTS on AZO and ORLY

Dear Traders,

I’m not expert in Wyckoff methodology, for which i need a second confirmation on my findings.

For a while i was watching Auto retails parts and repair, the financials are looking very bad, more specifically with current liabilities, raising interest rates and declining demand for new cars.

every analyst i watched in the last two months, are pushing AZO, ORLY, AAP … to new highs as with higher interest rates, less new car sales, people will buy used cars, and they will need more parts and repairs. looks raisonable. what is not raisonable is that all these companies financials should go bankrupt with higher interest rates as loans are getting expensive for them, they do not have enough cash to cover quarterly expenses and issues with raising wages …

https://preview.redd.it/brdw8cyiroea1.png?width=1792&format=png&auto=webp&s=04898bf87bb3dddeeea7ae7beefafd6af9ce6199

the below attached screenshots are showing a decline in Institutional ownership for the last 6 months, in the last 3 months, $1.44 billion of shares was sold by institutions, still they own 96% of he whole float (Graph from Finviz)

https://preview.redd.it/vavtcq2croea1.jpg?width=1821&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8af19c0f2ef7653f1da7290c0cf6b4391a641a68

the second graph showing stady decline for the last 7 months (graph from fintel)

https://preview.redd.it/902xmnidroea1.jpg?width=1335&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1378ff9f7d164998c0e2229d2d9da2471495ad13

then we have the above may be distribution or re-accumulation (if re-accumulation, do institutions wants more then 96% of all shares ??? ).

Let me know what you think about it, i’m considering 60 days puts on it, still not sure where to open my short position.

Thanks,

Sam

submitted by /u/SamDeutschRich to r/options
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